TELL #12
TITLE: What was my other card? CATEGORY: Double-check. DESCRIPTION: In Photo 19, the man on the left took the initiative by betting. This is seven stud and his exposed card was a king. His opponent’s card was a jack. In Photo 20, the man catches an eight offsuit to go with his king. Immediately (and only briefly, though not proven by the photo) he looks back at his hole cards. MOTIVATION: He simply wants to check his hole cards to see if the eight helped him. RELIABILITY: • Weak players = 70% • Average players = 65% • Strong players = 52% 45 VALUE PER HOUR: $1 limit = $0.15 $10 limit = $1.20 $100 limit = $1.50 DISCUSSION: When this player catches the small card and double-checks, you can be pretty sure he has some other small card in the hole. That small card did not have relevance until now. Why? Probably because he had a pair of kings to begin with and some secondary card that was not worth remembering. Catching the eight made him check to see if he caught two pair. If both his face-up cards were suited, a motive for a double-check could be to see if he has one more of that suit in the hole. BEST STRATEGY: Figure that there’s a better than average chance that this opponent has a pair of kings and a fair chance he has kings-up. There is almost no chance he has either three kings or three eights. And it’s very unlikely that he has a high kicker to go with a pair of kings. Keep these factors in mind, consider your own hand and play accordingly.
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